Monday, January 12, 2009

Golden Globe Winners and Thoughts

The Golden Globes actually held some surprises last night, like Winslet walking away with two trophies!
  • Best Picture, Drama: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Best Picture, Comedy Musical: Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Best Director: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
  • Best Actor, Drama: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
  • Best Actress, Drama: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
  • Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
  • Best Supporting Actress: Kate Winslet, The Reader
  • Best Screenplay: Simon Beaufoy: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Best Foreign Language Film: Waltz With Bashir
  • Best Animated Feature: WALL·E
  • Best Actor, Musical/Comedy: Colin Farrell
  • Best Actress, Musical/Comedy: Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
  • Best Original Score: A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millonaire
  • Best Original Song: Bruce Springsteen, The Wrestler
I scored 10/14, but missing Rourke for Penn, Winslet for Hathaway, Farrell for Hoffman and Rahman for Desplat.

What does this mean for Oscar?

Best Picture: Slumdog wins here, as expected and predicted. It's going to win best picture. The last film to win best score, adapted screenplay, picture and director at the Globes was The Last Emperor. It's too big to lose.

Best Actress: First, let's talk about Sally Hawkins. This win really changes nothing. The Oscar ballots are due tomorrow and this win was going to either her and Streep (a performance that was never going to get a nomination anyway). It's up to fate now whether Hawkins makes it in. Winslet's double win (in supporting and lead) has morphed this race into an utter free-for-all. Chaos is reigning! Can Winslet repeat that the Oscars and win both supporting and lead? That'd be interesting. Consider that if Winslet wins both acting statues at the Oscars, and Ledger wins supporting, there will only be two actors in the press room. Just a pointless aside. This is officially a threeway race between Hathaway, Streep and Winslet for the win. And at this point, if you ask me whose least likely to win between them, I'm going to say Streep. She got two Globe nominations and won zero. Kate won both. True, Streep has the BFCA, but she's tied with Hathaway. And Hathaway has the National Board of Review. That's two big surprise wins for Hathaway. Also, any doubt as to whether Winslet's going to get nominated for best actress is pretty much squelched due to those pesky Globe statistics. No winner for best actress drama has EVER failed to land a best actress nod. Remember last year when people were like "Atonement is going to be the first film in a long time to be a Globe winner for best drama that doesn't get a best picture nod?" The ballots may be due today, but those Globe statistics always mean something, n'est pas?

Best Actor: Sean Penn vs. Mickey Rourke. It's on. I still say that Rourke ultimately wins the Oscar.

Best Supporting Actor: The Ledger steamroll continues.

Best Supporting Actress: If Kate wins supporting at SAG, and loses lead, she'll be looking like more and more of a sure bet in this category. Cruz is her chief competition, with Davis having a very outside chance.

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